DARLEY JULY CUP (Group 1) 6f

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The Racing Horse looks at the Darley July Cup and finding the winner looks difficult. A great start from the stalls, luck in running, perfect fractions and inspired jockeyship are just some of the requirements needed to take this massive £302,690 prize money.

4.35 Newmarket: Darley July Cup (Group 1) 6f

13/14: Aged 5yo or younger
12/14: Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
12/14: Had won over 6f before
11/14: Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14: Won by a horse trained in the UK
11/14: Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
10/14: Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
  9/14: Ran last time out in King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
  9/14: Placed last time out
  7/14: Unplaced favourites
  6/14: Won their previous race
  4/14: Winning favourites
  2/14: Irish-trained winners
  1/14: French-trained winners

The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 17/2
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968

 

Twighlight Son

Truly a great race in prospect with almost all of the best home-grown sprinters taking each other on. Quiet Reflection is proven over this trip and trainer Karl Burke believes there is more to come from his 3yo filly. She receives weight being a filly and being one of the highest-rated anyway has an obvious chance. Twilight Son was a neck winner of the Diamond Jubilee last time and having won six of her 8 starts knows how to win a race and is a proven Group 1 winner. The Racing Horse thinks the winner will be one of these two but anything could happen and we are not confident, check out our ratings:

100 Quiet Reflection at 8/1 (Bet365 and Betfair)
100 Twilight Son at 8/1 (Bet365 and Betfair)
 99 Magical Memory at 6/1 (general)

Timeform View

 One of the most competitive renewals in recent times. Twilight Son is just about the pick on form and may have a bit more to offer, so is selected to get the better of Magical Memory again. Royal Ascot winners Quiet Reflection and Profitable are also big players, while Jungle Cat is offered at bigger odds.

Disclaimer
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