The Wolferton Stakes is one of the newest races at the Royal Ascot festival (established 2002) and open to runners aged 4yo and older. This is the fourth year of the Wolferton being a Listed race (rather than a Listed handicap) over 1m2f on the round course. It usually features a double-figure field where they meet a bend after a furlong, so the draw can be important. What is a low draw since the switch of stall numbers 10 seasons ago has been an advantage as 12 of the last 16 winners at Ascot were drawn in what are now single-figure stalls. Addeybb managed to overcome that two years ago but he did go on to win two Group 1s in Australia and the Champion Stakes. The draw is also easier to overcome on soft ground which was the case in his year.

Royal Ascot RACECOURSE TEMPLATE (Home Page)

John Gosden is the most successful trainer in the race winning the race 4 times and two of those ridden by William Buick which makes him the leading jockey.

5.00: Wolferton Stakes (Listed) 1m2f

14/18: Raced between 1 and 3 runs that season (78%)
11/15: Priced 7/1 or bigger (73%)
13/18: Won 3 or more races during career (72%)
13/18: Finished unplaced last time out (72%)
12/18: Aged 4yo (67%)
12/18: Won over 1m2f or further before (67%)
10/18: Ran at Ascot before (56%)
..4/10: Trained by John Gosden (40%)
..3/18: Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis) (17%)
..2/18: Trained by Michael Stoute (11%)
..2/18: Winning favourites (11%)

• 4yo+ winning favourites in non-handicaps for past 5 years show: 32-82 for 39% (-1.37)
• Saeed bin Suroor sent 18 runners to the race without a winner
• Favourite finishing positions (oldest to latest): 14-3-2-5-12-5-6-15-1-7-1-5-2-1-6-13-5-2-2 
• 4yos have filled 19 of the 25 positions in the last 8 years which has contributed to 15 wins in the last 20 years
• Single figure draw is best
• Male runners have produced a total of 19-261 runners, whilst females 0-19
• Just 1 winning favourite in the last 8 years
• Oisin Murphy (FELIX 15/2) & Frankie Dettori (FOREST OF DEAN 11/2)
• Marco Botti (FELIX) 4-59 for 6.78% since 1 May 2021
• John & Thady Gosden 8-37 for 22% last 14 days, the combination show 2-4 for 50% this year so far (FOREST OF DEAN)

RECENT WINNERS (18 years)

2020: Mountain Angel (8/1)
2019: Addeybb (5/1)
2018: Monarchs Glen (8/1)
2017: Snoano (25/1)
2016: Sir Isaac Newton (7/1)
2015: Mahsoob (7/4f)
2014: Contributer (9/1)
2013: Forgotten Voice (12/1)
2012: Gatewood (3/1f)
2011: Beachfire (12/1)
2010: Rainbow Peak (13/8f)
2009: Perfect Stride (8/1)
2008: Supaseus (12/1)
2007: Championship Point (25/1)
2006: I’m So Lucky (16/1)
2005: Imperial Stride (25/1)
2004: Red Fort (6/1)
2003: In Time’s Eye (5/1)

The trends are not a great help for this race. Blue Cap is a low-mileage 5yo who took apart a useful field in Epsom handicap over this trip in a first-time hood on Oaks Day, storming clear from Victory Chime. Should get a good pace here and can go well again. THE RACING HORSE VERDICT: 1: Blue Cap 8/1 4th  2: Forest Of Dean 10/1 12th  3: Felix 7/1 6th