The Chepstow Racecourse Finale
April 26th, 2024
The Racing Horse has enjoyed this particular National Hunt Season at Chepstow more than any other, s[...]
The Racing Horse offers our powerful Racecourse Template for Chepstow for Thursday 15 July 2021 and proud to support the work of Silk Series. There is a 6-race card including the Silk Series Handicap (For Pro-Am Female Jockeys) (Class 4) 5f16y which will be fascinating with Hollie Doyle, Josephine Gordon, Laura Pearson and Gina Mangan competing! So what does The SILK SERIES promote? Pioneering Sportswomen. Inspiring Achievement. A race series for female jockeys across fifteen British racecourses. Showcasing talent and supporting Cancer Research UK.
The going is expected to be good, good to soft in places (subject to change).
CHEPSTOW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE
Chepstow FAVOURITES (5 years) Non-handicap Handicap 2yo: 24-66 for 36% (-11.00) 4-11 for 36% (+1.13) 3yo: 25-48 for 52% (+1.46) 43-132 for 33% (-18.21) 4yo+: 1-4 for 25% (-2.13) 69-198 for 35% (+13.99) Total: 50-118 for 42% (-11.67) 116-341 for 34% (-3.09) TOP 5 TRAINERS at CHEPSTOW (past 5 years) David Evans (9%): 22 wins from 201 for 11% (-42.01) Ralph Beckett (17%): 16 wins from 52 for 33% (+15.76) E Johnson Houghton (12%): 16 wins from 70 for 23% (+1.06) Mick Channon (11%): 14 wins from 96 for 15% (+5.88) Tony Carroll (10%): 14 wins from 115 for 12% (-5.50) TOP 5 JOCKEYS at CHEPSTOW (past 5 years) Rossa Ryan: 30 wins from 140 for 21% (+47.15) David Probert: 25 wins from 193 for 13% (-32.62) Luke Morris: 18 wins from 123 for 15% (-26.22) Callum Shepherd: 14 wins from 76 for 18% (+36.75) Tom Marquand: 14 wins from 89 for 16% (-16.08) FEMALE JOCKEYS since Jan 21 (UK Courses) Hollie Doyle: 95 wins from 653 for 15% (-102.95) Laura Pearson: 30 wins from 249 for 12% (-24.23) Josephine Gordon: 15 wins from 247 for 6% (-95.46) Faye McManoman: 12 wins from 176 for 7% (-79.17) Mollie Phillips: 11 wins from 66 for 17% (+26.50) Gina Mangan: 5 wins from 20 for 25% (+23.28) Rose Dawes: 3 wins from 9 for 33% (+3.70) Georgia Dobie: 3 wins from 84 for 4% (-49.50) TOP 5 OWNERS at CHEPSTOW (past 5 years) Hamdan Al Maktoum: 7 wins from 41 for 17% (-15.18) Ronald & Candida Davies: 5 wins from 12 for 42% (+32.00) G B Hignett: 5 wins from 17 for 29% (+8.25) Pete Smith: 5 wins from 18 for 28% (+38.75) M Tidball & B Millman: 4 wins from 5 for 80% (+8.50) COLD LIST TRAINERS with runners today C J Gray: 214 Mrs N Evans: 153 R J Price: 52 M Saunders: 35 G Harris: 29 COLD LIST JOCKEYS with rides today Adam Farragher: 77 George Rooke: 55 Emma Taff: 43 Faye McManoman: 26 William Cox: 25 FIXTURES Thursday 15 July 2021 Friday 23 July 2021
Best performing category albeit from a smaller sample are 3yo winning favourites in non-handicaps which show 25 winners from 48 runners for a big 52% strike rate and a level stake profit to SP of +1.46. Winning favourites in handicaps fare slightly better than the national average. We note the top 5 trainers at the course perform above their national averages, this represents an edge when they have runners at this course.
Favourites winning at the course in the past 12 months: 126-273 for 46.2%
Standout figures
Standout figures from the track (past 5 years) come from Ralph Beckett (operating at 16% above national average) and Rossa Ryan (8% above). Worth pointing out the jockey is currently 1-43 for 2% since returning from injury, this figure is certain to increase soon.
As we go to post, top trainer at the course David Evans, who operates at 9%, has hit a seam of form never recorded before, with 9 winners from 21 runners for a massive 43% strike rate at prices of 11/8, 6/1, 10/1, 9/4, 9/1, 8/1, 11/4, 5/1, 42/10. He can never expect a set of results like this again in his racing career, but it does show his horses are in fantastic form! He has 2 runners at Chepstow tomorrow and we think he will have another winner!
1.45: SIENNA BREEZE ridden by Hollie Doyle. Lucy Wadham only 4 runners at Chepstow (1 winner), so significant jockey booking.
FETNA Michael Stoute has 20% strike rate with handicap debutants
2.10: THREE CARD TRICK Michael Blake profit of £41.45 to a £1 when one runner at a meeting
2.40: PORTERINTHEJUNGLE (R Brisland) rated higher in Ireland
3.10: GINGER JAM (N Tinkler) is longest traveller 225m, wasn't beaten far in higher class sprint at Doncaster last time out.
JUST GLAMOROUS (C Mason) is top earner at the course £123,765.32
UNDER CURFEW is unbeaten this year and will be tough to beat under a 5lb penalty for his Bath win on Tuesday.
OOH IS IT is The Racing Horse Nomination!
3.40: TAWAAFOQ Adrian Wintle profit of £46.95 to a £1 when one runner at a meeting.
OUR MAN IN HAVANA Tony Carrol profit of £18.75 to a £1 when saddling the favourite
4.10: SILVESTRIS (M Johnston) second longest traveller 216m, shows signs of temperament.
FIRST CONNECTION (C Fellowes) is an improving colt (PACAFI)
4.40: NICK VEDDER (R Brisland) drops from Class 4 to Class 6
..~
3.10: Silk Series Handicap (For Pro-Am Female Jockeys) (Class 4) 5f16y
A natural starting point to this race is to look at the Watson/Doyle combination. To date they show 137 winners from 647 rides for a big 21% strike rate winning £1,636,153 in prize money. Hollie has a national average of 13% and ridden 8-66 for 12% at Chepstow, this ranks 15 of the 39 racecourses she has ridden at in the UK. She rides the 3yo gelding Secret Handsheikh, who she has partnered twice to victory previously. Weighing close to 8st her mount will carry 10st 1lb so a fair bit of lead in the saddle, that said strength will not be an issue! She faces 7 rivals and it will be truly exciting and not to mention riveting, to see her ride against some other excellent jockeys in Josephine Gordon and Laura Pearson, especially given she is not riding a horse at the top of the betting! Despite Hollie in the saddle we cannot see a top 3 placing?
The Racing Horse Verdict
1: OOH IS IT 2: JUST GLAMOROUS 3: UNDER CURFEW
Chepstow takes a fair bit of getting. Because it’s so up hill and down dale, stamina has to come into play and it’s also worth noting that the straight is quite long, meaning that some horses start to race a lot earlier than is ideal. If you’re on one that wants to make the running, for example, you’ll often get a few keen to take you on earlier than you might like, so patience is vital for a jockey. Long-striding horses can often go well on the straight track but, as it’s quite stiff, they definitely need to get home - Jason Weaver
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CHEPSTOW Racecourse Templates are offered FREE of CHARGE to those going to Chepstow Races! For details please contact: paulmoon@theracinghorse.co.uk |
CHEPSTOW has 32 meetings annually, both flat and jump racing, please visit their website for more details.
Clerk of the course: Libby O'Flaherty
Racecourse Telephone: 01291 622 260 and Fax: 01291 627 061
Email: info@chepstow-racecourse.co.uk
Address: Chepstow Racecourse, Chepstow, Monmouthshire, NP16 6BE
Children aged 17 & under go FREE
PARKING IS FREE also.
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