The Racing Horse offers our Bath Racecourse Template for Friday 24 May 2024. There is an 8-race card containing 6 Handicaps and 2 Novice Races. The going is expected to be good, good to soft in places.

Bath FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicaps                  Handicaps
2yo   27-63	43%   -6.38    5-14	 36%	+0.60
3yo   26-61	43%  -11.36    51-156	 33%   -15.45
4yo+   4-14	29%   -2.50    78-250	 31%	+8.75
TOTAL 57-138	41%  -20.25    134-420	 32%    -6.10

TOP 5 TRAINERS at Bath past 5 years           +/-   E
Clive Cox (14%)      26-99    26%   +34.59   +12%   1
Adrian Wintle (10%)  23-122   19%   +27.40    +9%   2
Tony Carroll (9%)    22-255    9%   -97.25    +0%   4   
Eve J-Houghton (12%) 19-104   18%    +5.83    +6%   1
Rod Millman (12%)    19-118   16%    +5.36    +4%   3 

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Bath past 5 years            +/-   R
David Probert (12%) 30-180   17%    -2.19     +5%   0
Charles Bishop (9%) 18-155   12%   -46.16     +3%   0
Luke Morris (9%)    17-159   11%   -77.32     +2%   0
Hollie Doyle (15%)  16-92    17%    +2.40     +2%   0
Hector Crouch (14%) 14-69    20%    +7.28     +6%   0 

TOP 5 OWNERS at Bath past 5 years             +/-   E 
Adrian Wintle (13%) 13-43   30%	   +48.70    +17%   1
M S Teversham (14%)  6-22   27%	   +10.49    +13%   0
Godolphin (25%)	     5-15   33%	    +3.53     +8%   0
2 Counties Rac (10%) 5-24   21%	    +6.75    +11%   1
Wedgewood Est (9%)   5-31   16%	    +1.83     +7%   0  

FIXTURES:
Friday 7 June 2024
Saturday 15 June 2024		

UPCOMING RACECOURSE TEMPLATES:
Haydock (Saturday 25 May 2024)

CONFIGURATION: Left handed, galloping. The round course is an elongated oval track, just over twelve furlongs in extent, with a run-in of nearly half a mile, those that commit for home early in the straight often proving vulnerable in the closing stages, this due to the steady climb to the finish. The camera angle in the straight makes it one of the trickiest course in the country for in-running bettors as it's head-on from two furlongs out to inside the last. The highest course in the country, with no watering, so the ground can get very firm during a dry spell.

WINNING FAVOURITES: Winning favourites at Bath over the last 5 years show 191-558 for 34.23% (-26.35) so just above the national average of around 33%. Best categories for strike rates are 2yo & 3yos winning favourites in non-handicaps scoring at 43%, whilst the worst performing category are 4yos+ in handicaps scoring at 31% showing a 12% differential.

TRAINERS: The top 5 trainers at the course all have interest tomorrow and should be processed. Tony Carroll has a lowly 9% national average but has place chances with 3 of his 4 runners, they include HEARITFORTHEBOYS 2.15, CINQUE VERDE 4.30, CAREY STREET 5.30 & LONG CALL 6.10.

JOCKEYS: None of the leading jockeys at Bath have a ride here tomorrow, but we have a couple of class jockeys in attendance. James Doyle (19%) is in Paris today for a couple of Listed Races, but he travels to Bath to ride a couple and the hint should be taken. He rides AESTERIUS 2.50 & CATCH THE LIGHT 5.00 and we sense a winner!

We are still waiting for Benoit De La Sayette (15%) to take off after showing fabulous early promise and he rides 2 also in BINADHAM 2.50 & ALL TOO WELL 5.00. He has not come to terms with this course yet scoring just 1-16 for 6%.

Billy Loughnane's (14%) top Turf track for winners is Bath where he scores 12-88 for 14% (-31.10) and he has 5 runners including OTTOMAN FORCE 2.15, ARDENNES 2.50, SEA STREAM 5.00, CITY ESCAPE 5.30 & MAWADA 6.10.

OWNERS: Adrian Wintle is second top trainer at the course scoring at 10% and top owner at the course scoring 13% so a 3% differential that should be acknowledged. He has a single owned runner for this meeting in BLUE HERO 5.30 (weighted to win 62 > 55) to be ridden by George Rooke, though he also trains and runs class dropper MAWADA 6.10 and an eye-catching jockey booking in Billy Loughnane, big prices available.

2 Counties Racing (10%) have a single entry also in SYMBOL OF HOPE 3.25 trained by John & Rhys Flint and ridden by Ethan Jones (7).

RED FLAG: TRH is not a fan of the RICHARD HANNON MODUS OPERANDI. In our opinion he flogs his 2yos and if you ever wanted proof today proves it. The grey 2yo colt MUKABER 2.50 was foaled on the 18 May yet is making his debut already on the kidney shape 5f Bath Racecourse, meaning he will be on the turn for most of the race. What is the hurry with this 115,000gns purchase? What is to be gained? What will Sheikh Abdullah Almalek Alsabah do with his share of £3,402 prize money? If they were going to race this immature 2yo why not use a straight 5f AW Course? This entry represents madness unless we have missed something? The horse has a Group 2 entry on 30 June in Ireland so they might say they want to get the colt out for experience - we do not accept that given the above! The only non-negative about this entry we can find is the distance from stable to course which is around 34 miles.

By the way, despite his reputation for 2yo winners, his first start 2yos score 6-91 for 6.59% over the past year, 46-571 for 8.09% over the past 5 years (-163.01). Context is everything, Clive Cox who opposes him today scores 31-233 for 13.30% (+21.88), whilst Archie Watson is 36-205 for 17.56% (-36.76). Finally, Aesterius for Archie Watson was foaled 31 January and Redorange for Clive Cox was foaled 21 March. The chances of Mukaber winning despite a Group 2 entry is remote in our humble opinion yet is only 7/1 in the market.

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