The Racing Horse offers our Wolverhampton Racecourse Template for Monday 7 October 2024. There is a 9-race card including 6 Handicaps and 3 Novice Stakes Race. The Tapeta going is expected to be standard.

Wolverhampton FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicaps                   Handicaps
2yo   106-251	42%   -38.40	40-120	  33%	 +11.05
3yo   163-333	49%   -12.31	255-733	  35%	 -47.87
4yo+   78-173	45%   +13.50	413-1340  31%	-133.75
TOTAL 347-757	46%   -37.21	708-2193  32%	-170.57

TOP 5 TRAINERS past 5 years                     +/-   E
Tony Carroll (9%)     83-935     9%   -190.72   +0%   3
Michael Appleby (11%) 68-580	12%     +0.92   +1%   1
Mark Loughnane (9%)   68-653	10%    -90.64   +1%   3
David Evans (11%)     58-538	11%   -126.67   +0%   2
George Boughey (17%)  56-350	16%    -25.22   -1%   1

TOP 5 JOCKEYS past 5 years                      +/-   R
Rossa Ryan (16%)    121-584   21%    +91.62     +5%   0
Luke Morris (9%)    112-983   11%   -219.00     +2%   5
Hollie Doyle (14%)   89-588   15%   -167.99     +1%   6
David Probert (12%)  79-679   12%   -102.96     +0%   5
Jack Mitchell (17%)  75-433   17%   -136.35     +0%   0

TOP 5 OWNERS past 5 years                       +/-   E
Godolphin (25%)	      57-184	31%    -19.31   +6%   0
Saeed Manana (15%)    24-109	22%    +13.43   +7%   0 
Ahmed A Maktoum (24%) 21-55	38%	+5.98  +14%   0
Power Geneva (15%)    19-119	16%    -11.22   +1%   0
Antony Brittain (8%)  15-206     7%    -88.83   -1%   0

UPCOMING FIXTURES:
Monday 7 October 2024	
Monday 14 October 2024		
Saturday 19 October 2024		
Monday 21 October 2024

Saturday results not included...

CONFIGURATION: The all-weather course at Wolverhampton forms a flat, left-handed oval circuit of just under a mile in length. The bends are fairly sharp and with a straight of under 2f in length it favours horses with the ability to hold a good position as opposed to those who need time to find full stride. 

WINNING FAVOURITES: Despite the poor quality of racing at Wolverhampton, winning favourites generally have high strike rates, particularly in non-handicap, low-tier races. The wisdom of the crowd is clearly in play and working at this racecourse, and it certainly pays to wager late here or even better just before the off. It's important to note that the 5f, 7f, and extended 1m starts can be challenging for jockeys, and the 1m4f start may also present difficulties. Nevertheless, the high strike rate persists despite these adverse draw conditions. The substantial sample size at this course lends much credibility to the data, with absolutely no signs of fatigue!

• Over the past 5 years, winning favourites show 1055-2950 for 35.76% so nearly 3% above the national average, though a level stake loss to SP of -£207.78 to a £1 win stake.
• Winning favourites in non-handicaps score at 46%
• Winning favourites in handicaps score 32%
• Best category is 3yo winning favourites in non-handicaps 163-333 for 49% (-12.31)
• Worst category is 4yos+ winning favourites in handicaps 413-1340 for 31% (-133.75)
• Differential between best and worst category is a huge 19%
• Top trainer at the course is Tony Carroll (9%) but this position is based on volume of runners. He is currently 0-60 over a period of a period of 31 days. He has 3 runners on Monday, should be processed
• Top jockey at the course is Rossa Ryan (16%) who scores at 21% so +5% above his national average
• Godolphin (25%) are leading owners at the course and score at 31% so +6% above their national average

TRAINERS: There are 2 trainers to flag up for this meeting especially. James Owen (17%) is 12-31 for 39% (+21.10) at the course this current year. He has 2 runners including course and distance winner DESTINADO 4.23 & CANNON ROCK 7.30 to be ridden by Teagan Padgett and Danny Muscutt respectively.

Richard Hughes (14%) is 10-25 for 40% (+17.85) at the course this current year and also has 2 runners including INVINCIBLE CROWN 4.55 and a 2yo Sea The Stars colt SEA BAAEED 5.30 who was a £160,000 purchase (but drawn stall 11) to be ridden by Richard Kingscote and Rob Hornby respectively.

Interesting Mark Prescott (18%) had 9 entries for Monday (Saturday 18.43), with 4 lined up for each of the 6.00 & 6.30 races. UPDATE: The trainer has selected one from four for each of those races, so now has 3 runners including SYNERGISM 5.30, BELLA D'ORO 6.00 & STAR CAST 6.30. Bear in mind all three races are for 2yos and the trainer is just 5% with juveniles on the AW generally, but this year he scores 4-30 for 13% with 2yos, and he is scoring 22% with his runners this year generally, which is +4% above his national average! All three are at bigger prices and given his early declarations he might find a place or two at big prices!

JOCKEYS: Hollie Doyle (14%) has 6 rides including SPIRITUALISM 4.55, RIYADH GEM 5.30, QUEEN OF THE ROSES 6.00, EAZY ON THE EYE 6.30, HAKU 7.30 & LADY BOUQUET 8.30

Luke Morris (9%) is currently 0-26 over a period of 8 days and has 5 rides including SYNERGISM 5.30, BELLA D'ORO 6.00, STAR CAST 6.30, A PINT OF BEAR 7.00 & SOPHAR SOGOOD 8.00

David Probert (12%) also has 5 rides including NOBLE PHOENIX 5.30, TEQUILA 6.00, SPLIT ELEVENS 7.00, OPTICIAN 7.30 & ADVERT RULES 8.00.

OWNERS: None of the top owners at the course have a runner for Monday.

RED FLAG: Rossa Ryan (16%) rode 202 winners last year and 167 winners so far this year. Can he beat his personal best with 3 months to go? TRH thinks so! He rides Wolverhampton brilliantly, this current year shows him 33-139 for 24% so +8% (+44.79). But, he must have something lined up at Pontefract on Monday where he has 4 rides on a track he scores 14-47 for 30% (+32.58). His rides include PETER THE WOLF 1.52, SIR DINADAN 3.02, CINNODIN 4.12 & HARRY'S HALO 5.20. One of those rides is for Ralph Beckett and his combination is worthy of a system given 139-640 for 22% (-20.08) winning £3,742,433 in prize money over the past 5 years. Just a modicum of filtration on those numbers would have produced a good profit!

By the way, Ryan goes to Paris on Sunday to ride in the £2½m to the winner Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (Group 1) on BLUESTOCKING for Ralph Beckett. The going is expected to be very soft and his ride won at the course over course and distance last time out on similar ground, albeit against her own sex. After the race Ralph Beckett told us: " She showed a real liking for Longchamp, which is very relevant. Ultimately, she's a Group 1 winner now and everything is a bonus. We finished second in the Arc with Westover last year to a really good horse and it would be nice to have another go." Is the current 12/1 perceived value? Not sure, but she will be well ridden. Worth reminding ourselves she was supplemented by Juddmonte at a cost of €120,000 and now has a great draw in stall 3.

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