Pacafi (6 November 2018)

Posted by Paul Moon in Blog | Leave a comment

 JAHBATH 5.00 Kempton at evens

32Red Casino Novice Stakes (Div I) (1m)

Pedigree: 52,000gns F; 9th foal; half-brother to winners Mikelino (1m-10.5f; RPR 90), Esprit Danseur (7f; 66) and Dragon City (1m4f AW; 78 and 2m4f hurdle); dam 1m4f winner, half-sister to 1m2f Listed winner Otaiti out of 1m4f Group 2 winner

THE RACING HORSE COMPOSITE

Trainer Form: November 3-6 for 50%  (10)
RPR: 93                             (10)                    
Optimum Ground: Good or standard    (10) 
Optimum Distance: 1m                (10)
Jockey Booking: James Doyle         (10)

The Racing Horse Composite:         (50)

Next best: Ours Puissant
      Win Plc Run RPR            Win Plc Run RPR
Life   1   1   2   93    GF-F     1   0   1   93
18/19  1   1   2   93    G        1   1   1   93
Dist   1   0   1   93    GS-HVY   0   0   0    0
Crs    1   0   1   93    6-15rs   1   1   2   93
CL5    1   0   1   93    9/1-9.7  1   1   2   93

Derby entry

Foaled 26 February Jahbath is a half-brother to Mikelino, who won three times at 1m and 1m 2f. The Pacafi holds a Derby entry and won impressively on his latest outing when 4/11fav over this course and distance last month, beating Surrey Warrior by 4l. He has significant potential for further improvement.

Trainer and jockey

James Doyle might not have given us his very best ride on Cloudlam yesterday and we hope he make amends here on another William Haggas runner. We noticed the jockey also got beat on another favourite for this trainer later on the card. We talked yesterday about the good form of the trainer and the strong combination figures this year showing 49-169 for 29% (+13.08).

Of his rivals

Ours Puissant has similar form to our Pacafi though the former carries a bigger penalty. Hugo Palmer’s charge won easily over track and trip last month. Snow Storm was expected to do better when stepped up to today’s trip at Chelmsford last time while Tammooz is a half-brother to a couple of winners on the all-weather, and Spice Of Life is the first foal of a Listed winner and both are newcomers to note.

Timeform

JAHBATH won easily over course and distance 3 weeks ago, and can defy a penalty. Ours Puissant also has a penalty to defy but has run to a similar level to the selection, while Spice of Life and Tammooz are newcomers to note.

Value

We priced the colt up at 4/5 to 8/11 so on the right side of perceived value.

 The Racing Horse will update the results of our 2018 Pacafi's as soon as possible especially for those who use percentage of the bank staking which is our preferred option. Our results will show advised odds/best price guaranteed, result, stake, win or lose, balance and strike-rate. The results will be shown at 1pt win stakes. From 1st March 2018 we will use 1 to 2pt win staking when appropriate and most favourable including the use of stake-savers.

4  Jahbath            2.00  WIN  1.00  +1.00  +1.99  S/R  75%
3  Cloudlam           1.72  LOSE 1.00  -1.00  +0.99  S/R  67%
2  Enable             1.62  WIN  1.00  +0.62  +1.99  S/R 100%
1  Seddon (S)         2.62  WIN  1.25  +1.37  +1.37  S/R 100%

November SELECTIONS: 4  WIN: 3 LOSE:  1  S/R: 75%  PROFIT: +1.99pts

      (1131)            FINISHED First or Second: 75.00%

22  Magna Grecia        3.00  WIN   1.25  +1.75  +0.49  S/R 50%
21  Fragrant Dawn       1.80  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  -1.26  S/R 48%
20  Dr Sanderson        1.80  WIN   1.00  +0.80  -0.26  S/R 50%
19  Turjomaan           2.00  WIN   1.00  +1.00  -1.06  S/R 47%
18  Gifts Of Gold       1.72  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  -2.06  S/R 44%
17  Cracksman           1.83  WIN   1.00  +0.83  -1.06  S/R 47%
16  Stradivarius        2.00  WIN   1.00  +1.00  -1.89  S/R 44%
15  Collodi             2.10  WIN   1.00  +1.10  -2.89  S/R 40%
14  Gentle Look         3.00  LOSE  1.20  -1.20  -3.99  S/R 36%
13  Dorah               2.00  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  -2.79  S/R 38%
12  Desert Friend       2.00  WIN   1.00  +1.00  -1.79  S/R 42%
11  Too Darn Hot        2.00  WIN   1.00  +1.00  -2.79  S/R 36%
10  Mary Somerville     2.25  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  -3.79  S/R 30%
 9  Cenotaph (S)        2.25  LOSE  1.20  -1.20  -2.79  S/R 33%
 8  Forest View         2.20  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  -1.59  S/R 38%
 7  Huge Future         2.50  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  -0.59  S/R 43%
 6  Royal Rendezvous    1.40  WIN   1.00  +0.40  +0.41  S/R 50%
 5  Maj Partnership (S) 2.67  WIN   1.30  +1.37  +0.01  S/R 40%
 4  Allmankind          1.44  WIN   1.00  +0.44  -1.36  S/R 25%
 3  Ambling (S)         2.37  LOSE  1.30  +0.20  -1.80  S/R  0%
 2  Caid Du Lin         1.57  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  -2.00  S/R  0% 
 1  Gentle Look         1.91  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  -1.00  S/R  0%

October SELECTIONS: 22  WIN: 11  LOSE: 11  S/R: 50%  PROFIT: +0.49pts

(4221113320112311121131)       FINISHED First or Second: 72.73%

20  Ten Sovereigns      1.67  WIN   1.00  +0.67  +7.61   S/R  65%
19  Buffalo River       1.67  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  +6.94   S/R  63%
18  Jaunty Thor         1.67  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  +7.94   S/R  67%
17  Gemini              4.00  WIN   1.00  +3.00  +8.94   S/R  71%
16  Finch Hatton        1.91  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  +5.94   S/R  69%
15  Jamil               1.67  WIN   1.00  +0.67  +6.94   S/R  73%
14  Wadilsafa (S)       2.20  WIN   1.20  +1.00  +6.27   S/R  71% 
13  Kamikaze Lord       1.72  WIN   1.00  +0.72  +5.27   S/R  69% 
12  Too Darn Hot        1.53  WIN   1.00  +0.53  +4.55   S/R  67%
11  Sangarius           2.10  WIN   1.00  +1.10  +4.02   S/R  64%
10  Pilaster (S)        2.75  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  +2.92   S/R  60%
 9  Equilateral         1.62  WIN   1.00  +0.62  +3.92   S/R  67%
 8  Carrie Des Champs   1.53  WIN   1.00  +0.53  +3.30   S/R  63%
 7  Harry Angel         2.25  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  +2.77   S/R  57%
 6  Enable              1.67  WIN   1.00  +0.67  +3.77   S/R  67%
 5  Sextant             1.53  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  +3.10   S/R  60%
 4  Floria Tosca        2.20  WIN   1.00  +1.20  +4.10   S/R  75% 
 3  Autumn War          2.87  WIN   1.00  +1.87  +2.90   S/R  67%
 2  Gleeful (S)         2.37  LOSE  1.25  +0.12  +1.03   S/R  50%
 1  Veracious           1.91  WIN   1.00  +0.91  +0.91   S/R 100%

September SELECTIONS: 20  WIN: 13  LOSE: 7  S/R: 65%  PROFIT: +7.61pts

(14112161131111131221)       FINISHED First or Second: 80.00%

18  Never Do Nothing    1.62  WIN   1.00  +0.62  +8.96   S/R  72%
17  Desert Frost        2.75  WIN   1.00  +1.31  +8.34   S/R  71%
16  Nick Lost           1.67  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  +7.03   S/R  69%
15  Lah Ti Dar          2.00  WIN   1.00  +1.00  +8.03   S/R  73%
14  Collide             2.25  WIN   1.00  +1.25  +7.03   S/R  71%
13  Over The Guns       2.20  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  +5.78   S/R  69%
12  Gustav Klimt        3.00  LOSE  1.30  -1.30  +6.78   S/R  75%
11  Alhakmha            1.57  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  +8.08   S/R  82%
10  Concello            2.00  WIN   1.00  +1.00  +9.08   S/R  90%
 9  Beat That           1.53  WIN   1.00  +0.53  +8.08   S/R  89%
 8  Restive Spirit      3.00  WIN   1.00  +1.50  +7.55   S/R  88%
 7  Beatboxer (R4)      2.00  WIN   1.00  +0.90  +6.05   S/R  86%
 6  Mutawaffer          1.83  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  +5.15   S/R  83%
 5  Magnetic Charm      2.75  WIN   1.00  +1.31  +6.15   S/R 100%
 4  Willie John         2.20  WIN   1.00  +1.20  +4.84   S/R 100%
 3  Battaash            2.25  WIN   1.00  +1.25  +3.64   S/R 100%
 2  Royal Plaza         1.72  WIN   1.00  +0.72  +2.39   S/R 100%
 1  Star Shield         2.67  WIN   1.00  +1.67  +1.67   S/R 100%

August SELECTIONS: 18  WIN: 13  LOSE: 5  S/R: 72%  PROFIT: +8.96pts

(111112111125411211)       First or second: 88.88%

19  Queen Medb          1.80  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  +5.88   S/R  63%
18  L'Explora           1.44  WIN   1.00  +0.44  +6.88   S/R  67%
17  Kuwait Station      2.50  WIN   1.00  +1.50  +6.44   S/R  65%
16  Advanced Virgo      1.72  WIN   1.00  +0.72  +4.94   S/R  63%  
15  Major Partnership   1.72  WIN   1.00  +0.72  +4.22   S/R  60%
14  Raymond Tusk        2.75  WIN   1.00  +1.75  +3.49   S/R  58%
13  Hazapour            1.91  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  +1.74   S/R  54%
12  Wicklow Brave       1.80  WIN   1.00  +0.80  +2.74   S/R  58%
11  Altra Vita          1.80  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  +1.94   S/R  55% 
10  Inessa              1.80  WIN   1.00  +0.80  +2.94   S/R  60%
 9  Wissahickon         3.75  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  +2.14   S/R  55%
 8  Fox Coach           2.50  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  +3.14   S/R  63%
 7  Herculean           1.50  WIN   1.00  +0.50  +4.14   S/R  71%
 6  Thriving            2.10  WIN   1.00  +1.10  +3.64   S/R  67%  
 5  Ballydun Oscar      1.67  WIN   2.00  +1.34  +2.54   S/R  60%
 4  Alsimsaam           2.25  LOSE  1.00  -1.00  +1.20   S/R  50%
 3  Altra Vita          1.80  WIN   2.00  +1.60  +2.20   S/R  67% 
 2  Construct (R4)      2.37  WIN   2.00  +2.60  +0.60   S/R  50%
 1  Forever Together    1.67  LOSE  2.00  -2.00  -2.00   S/R   0%

July SELECTIONS: 19  WIN: 12  LOSE: 7  S/R: 63%  PROFIT: +5.88pts

(211L111281313111112)       First or second: 78.95%

 Disclaimer
Our information and betting advice is for educational purposes only. Please exercise caution when acting upon our advice and remember that gambling carries risk. No liability is taken by the site or product owner following any of the information given or sold to you. Betting always involves a level of risk and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *