The Chepstow Racecourse Finale
April 26th, 2024
The Racing Horse has enjoyed this particular National Hunt Season at Chepstow more than any other, s[...]
KEMPTON RACECOURSE TEMPLATE (Monday 8 August 2022)
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The Racing Horse offers our powerful Kempton AW Racecourse Template for Monday 8 August 2022. There is a 7-race card containing 4 Handicaps, a Maiden and 2 Novice Races. The going is expected to be standard to slow.
Winning Favourites (5 Years) Non-handicap Handicap 2yo 118-285 41% -31.72 34-119 29% -17.59 3yo 127-263 48% -10.76 153-506 30% -68.99 4yo+ 45-115 39% -20.13 256-803 32% -53.71 TOTAL 290-663 44% -62.62 443-1428 31% -140.29 TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON for 2021 +/- E R Varian (20%) 17-54 31% (+15.08) +11% 2 A Balding (16%) 17-97 18% (+58.35) +2% 2 J & T Gosden (21%) 14-69 20% (-23.78) -1% 1 C Appleby (29%) 12-45 27% (-11.33) -2% 0 W Haggas (22%) 11-45 24% (-0.88) +2% 1 TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON past 5 years +/- E J & T Gosden (21%) 62-238 26% -25.75 +0% 1 A Balding (15%) 60-384 16% +50.74 +1% 2 R Varian (20%) 59-259 23% -10.53 +3% 2 R Hannon (12%) 56-552 10% -173.40 -2% 1 C Appleby (29%) 49-139 35% -21.06 +6% 0 TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON for 2021 +/- R H Doyle (14%) 31-211 15% (-57.14) +1% 0 D Probert (12%) 24-192 13% (-4.56) +1% 5 O Murphy (19%) 23-91 25% (+1.43) +6% 0 R Kingscote (14%) 22-163 13% (-69.00) -1% 4 J Mitchell (16%) 18-109 17% (+21.45) +0% 3 TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON past 5 years +/- R O Murphy (19%) 96-513 19% -80.41 +0% 0 D Probert (12%) 83-790 11% -143.74 -1% 5 H Doyle (14%) 80-589 14% -119.85 +0% 0 T Marquand (14%) 75-636 12% -98.25 -2% 0 A Kirby (15%) 69-529 13% -169.23 -2% 0 TOP 5 OWNERS at Kempton past 5 years +/- E Godolphin (24%) 87-312 28% (-61.52) +4% 0 Hamdan Al Maktoum (21%) 44-176 25% (+47.66) +4% 0 King Power (14%) 25-135 19% (-21.43) +5% 0 K Abdullah (25%) 21-89 24% (-3.97) -1% 0 Ahmed Al Maktoum (25%) 15-63 24% (-7.93) -1% 0 FIXTURES Monday 8 August 2022 Wednesday 10 August 2022 Tuesday 16 August 2022 (%): National Average SAW: Since a winner E: Entries R: Rides
FAVOURITES: The beauty of the Kempton Template is the sample size. It is our biggest aggregation and one we can trust (relatively speaking). Winning favourites at Kempton over the past 5 years show 733-2091 for 35.05% (-£202.51). Favourites in non-handicaps win at 44% whilst just 31% in handicaps. The best category for winning favourites at this course are 3yos in non-handicaps showing 127-263 for 48.29% (-10.76).
TRAINERS: Roger Varian (20%) scored at 31% at the course in 2021, he has 2 runners tomorrow. J & T Gosden (21%) has 1 runner whilst Andrew Balding (15%) has 2 and they look the natural starting point to the meeting.
JOCKEYS: David Probert ( 12%) has 5 rides and will be involved in proceedings, add the names of Richard Kingscote (14%) with 4 rides and Jack Mitchell (16%) with 3, we have a trio who will provide winners at the meeting.
OWNERS: None of our top owners have an entry for Monday.
BY THE WAY: We think we might have the winner for the 2.20 Yarmouth on Wednesday. As we got to post MODERN DANCER, LOCAL DYNASTY, CITY OF KINGS & TABARETTA have been entered. The suggestion is one of those will win from a probable two entries, make a note...
BY THE WAY 2: Regarding jockeyship this year, we note David Probert is joint-second leading jockey with 10-98 for 10% (-60.30) whilst Rob Hornby is 10-45 for 22% (+9.66). Not sure what we can draw from this comparison other than we know Probert is just about one of the hardest workers around and especially on the AW surfaces and that Rob Hornby is having a great season!
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| JASON WEAVER on KEMPTON
The way the track is prepared at Kempton can play a massive part in whether it suits front-runners or horses coming from behind. Most of the time, the going is officially rated ‘standard’ but I know, from having ridden in America, that all artificial surfaces are dependent on weather conditions. An inside draw is a big advantage on the round course, as you don’t want to be running wide, and there’s a tendency for jockeys to get going a long from home. My preference would be to use patient tactics. |