The Racing Horse offers our Newmarket Racecourse Template for Friday 14 July 2023. There is a 7-race card containing 4 Handicaps, a Maiden Race, a Group 2 and a Group 1 Race. The going is expected to be good to firm.
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NEWMARKET FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap Handicap
2yo 47-112 42% -10.55 6-17 35% -4.50
3yo 23-54 43% -8.43 75-216 35% -31.57
4yo+ 7-22 32% -4.78 43-119 36% +9.65
TOTAL 77-188 41% -23.75 124-352 35% -26.42
TOP 5 TRAINERS NEWMARKET 5 years +/- E
C Appleby (29%) 59-176 34% -5.74 +5% 4
J & T Gosden (21%) 37-175 21% -3.75 +0% 4
R Hannon (11%) 32-244 13% -43.23 +2% 0
W Haggas (23%) 21-128 16% -45.77 -7% 2
S Bin Suroor (20%) 17-56 30% +25.53 +10% 1
HOT TRAINERS 13/06/2023 to 12/07/2023 +/- E
C Appleby (29%) 15-47 32% -12.35 +3% 4
A Keatley (9%) 7-25 28% +9.50 +19% 2
W Haggas (23%) 26-100 26% +20.74 +3% 2
E Walker (14%) 15-69 22% +29.03 +8% 1
A O'Brien (13%) 17-81 21% -2.38 +8% 2
COLD LIST TRAINERS SAW E
M Hammond (9%) 50 61 days 1
R Spencer (9%) 41 62 days 1
R Cowell (10%) 30 25 days 2
D F Davis (9%) 24 24 days 3
TOP JOCKEYS NEWMARKET 5 years +/- R
W Buick (23%) 53-184 29% -33.97 +6% 6
J Doyle (19%) 39-203 19% -62.30 +0% 5
O Murphy (19%) 20-99 20% +37.37 +1% 0
R Havlin (15%) 17-104 16% -29.13 +1% 2
A Atzeni (16%) 15-95 16% +3.90 +0% 0
HOT JOCKEYS 14/06/2023 to 13/07/2023 +/- R
R Moore (18%) 19-68 28% +8.62 +10% 4
G Rooke (8%) 7-31 23% +1.50 +15% 1
R Havlin (15%) 14-65 22% +7.21 +7% 2
J Spencer (13%) 6-29 21% +111.60 +8% 5
N Callan (15%) 14-73 19% +34.17 +4% 5
H Doyle (15%) 19-104 18% +43.87 +3% 6
COLD LIST JOCKEY SAW R
D Egan (12%) 25 10 days 6
J Doyle (19%) 16 12 days 5
TOP 5 OWNERS NEWMARKET 5 years +/- E
Godolphin (25%) 76-247 31% +2.53 +6% 5
H Al Maktoum (22%) 15-60 25% +17.25 +3% 0
Cheveley Park (17%) 11-48 23% +13.12 +6% 0
Al Shaqab (14%) 7-18 39% +9.50 +25% 0
Obaid A Maktoum (19%) 7-50 14% -8.34 -5% 4
Fixtures:
Saturday 15 July 2023
Friday 21 July 2023
Saturday 22 July 2023
Upcoming Racecourse Templates
Newmarket July Course (Saturday)
Thursday's results not included...
COURSE: The July Course is 2m1f in extent with a right-handed bend at halfway, the first mile being part of the Cesarewitch course, the last the straight Bunbury mile. Notwithstanding the undulations for the first three quarters of a mile of the straight, the course then running downhill for a furlong before climbing to the line, it is galloping in character and favours big, long-striding sorts. As with the Rowley Mile course, ability to see out the trip thoroughly is essential.
FAVOURITES: Winning favourites at Newmarket (July) show 201-540 for 37.22% (-50.17) so around +5% above the national average. All six categories score at between 35% and 43%. Clearly this is a good racecourse for winning favourites.
TRAINERS: Charlie Appleby has a national average of 29% which is the largest in UK Racing yet he beats that strike rate at Newmarket on this July Course scoring at 34%. He has 4 runners for Friday including LOCAL DYNASTY & TAGABAWA 1.50, STAR OF MYSTERY 2.25 and EMPEROR'S STAR 4.10
J & T Gosden (21%) also have 4 runners and certain to be involved at the business end, they include OBELIX & BURGLAR 1.50, NASHWA & COPPICE 3.35 so doubling up in two races.
JOCKEYS: We have six top class jockeys riding at Newmarket tomorrow and the suggestion from here is they will dominate the meeting!
William Buick (23%) rides 29% at the course and has 6 rides. Hollie Doyle (15%) has 6 rides also and will be competing hard against our top jockeys, she might find a way to win. Ryan Moore (18%) has 4 rides whilst James Doyle (19%) has 5.
It is rare to see Jamie Spencer (13%) having 5 rides at a meeting these days and he makes it onto our hot jockey board, along with Neil Callan (15%) who also has 5 rides. Their rides should be filtered and processed.
OWNERS: Godolphin's (25%) winners at the course score more than the next 20 owners put together such is their dominance! Their national average in the UK is 25% yet score 76-247 for 31% and a profit to level stakes and SP of +2.53. They have 5 runners tomorrow, the 4 trained by Charlie Appleby and the other trained by Saeed bid Surror (20%) in LIVE YOUR DREAMS 3.00.
RED FLAG: Just a recap really but this current year Charlie Appleby has recorded 11-28 for 39% (-8.12) with his 2yos. Within those losers there are 4 second places and 5 third places meaning 20-28 for 71.43% has finished in the first three, highlighting the fact he has them firing. We remind members of his 2yo runners for Friday and Saturday, they are STAR OF MYSTERY 2.25 Newmarket, IMPRESSIVE ACT 2.50 Ascot, EMPEROR'S STAR 4.10 Newmarket and then on Saturday he runs RACE THE WIND 1.40 Newmarket and GREAT TRUTH 3.25 Newmarket. So 5 horses named and at least 2 winners if not 3?
PERTINENCE
1.50
TAGABAWA (C Appleby) trainer 29% national average and 34% at the course, William Buick rides and 29% at the course
LOCAL DYNASTY (C Appleby) beaten favourite last time out, trainer 29% national average and 34% at the course, James Doyle rides
BOLSTER (S & E Crisford) drops from Group 3 to Class 2, David Egan rides
2.25 (Favs: 42%)
STAR OF MYSTERY (C Appleby) trainer 29% national average and 34% at the course, William Buick rides and 34% at the course
3.00
LIVE YOUR DREAM (Saeed bin Suroor) trainer 30% at the course, Kevin Stott rides
RAVENS ARK (H Morrison) beaten favourite last time out, Hollie Doyle rides
AIMERIC (R Varian) trainer 20% with horses running over 10f+, James Doyle rides
3.35 (Favs: 32%)
PROSPEROUS VOYAGE (R Beckett) beaten favourite last time out, William Buick rides and 29% at the course
NASHWA (J & T Gosden) beaten favourite last time out, Hollie Doyle rides
VIA SISTINA (G Boughey) smart form to win Dahila Stakes by 6l at Rowley Mile on her return and Pretty Polly at Curragh 13 days ago, the one to beat, Jamie Spencer rides
4.10 (Favs: 42%)
EMPEROR'S STAR (C Appleby) trainer 29% national average and 34% at the course, trainer has won 2 of the last 5 runnings and 3 of the last 10, William Buick rides and 29% at the course
WARM SPELL (R Varian) promising first effort behind useful and experienced rival at Goodwood (6f) last month, Trainer 5-25 for 20% with 2yos this year, David Egan rides
CAPULET (A O'Brien) trainer 16-44 for 36% with 2yos in Ireland this current year, Ryan Moore rides
4.45
MISTER BLUEBIRD (H Main) beaten favourite last time out, trainer +£93.18 when one runner at a meeting, Hollie Doyle rides
RAZEYNA (W Haggas) beaten favourite last time out, Pat Dobbs rides
HARRY MAGNUS (C Hills) Made winning handicap debut on Rowley Course here (7f, good to soft) in May. Not helped by slowish starts since, William Buick rides and 29% at the course
5.20
ANOTHER BAAR (A Keatley) beaten favourite last time out, Jamie Spencer rides
GOOD EARTH (M Herrington) beaten favourite last time out, better than ever when successful at Beverley last month, Kevin Stott rides
THE THAMES BOATMAN (R Hughes) beaten favourite last time out, hood applied, George Rooke rides
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| With the longest straight in Britain and just one turn to negotiate in distance races, this is a lovely course to ride. Surprisingly, though, there are one or two ridges, even before the run down into the Dip, and you need to ride them smoothly. The other thing a jockey has to remember is that it’s a long way up that finishing hill - you’ll see plenty caught in the closing stages. Because of the chalk base, it can ride very lively, and the wind direction is vital. Getting cover is so, so important when it’s in your face - Jason Weaver |
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