Last 5 seasons
Non-handicaps                      Handicaps
2yo    71   156	  46%	 -2.46	   19	  52  37%    -3.09
3yo   123   251	  49%	 -4.71	   155	 501  31%   -85.76
4yo+   75   146	  51%	+25.15	   282	 933  30%  -141.89
TOTAL 269   553	  49%	+17.97	   456	1486  31%  -230.75

Top 5 Trainers last 5 seasons                     +/-    E
Andrew Balding (15%)	58-257	 23%	+71.83    +8%    4
Tony Carroll (10%)	52-476	 11%	-77.81    +1%    5
Archie Watson (14%)	48-266	 18%	-24.09    +4%    1
Richard Hannon (11%)	45-385	 12%	-90.40    +1%    5
Roger Varian (20%)	40-152	 26%	 -3.60    +6%    3

Top 5 Jockeys last 5 seasons                      +/-    R
David Probert (12%)	89-579	 15%   +108.55    +3%    6
Hollie Doyle (14%)	74-480	 15%	-92.15    +1%    0
Luke Morris (9%)	73-721	 10%	-91.66    +1%    6
Jack Mitchell (16%)	59-326	 18%	-40.65    +2%    4
Robert Havlin (15%)	57-364	 16%   -111.90    +1%    3

Top 5 Owners last 5 seasons                       +/-    E
Godolphin (25%)	        40-138	 29%	 -5.99    +4%    2
King Power (13%)	16-75	 21%	-24.17    +8%    0
Power Geneva (14%)	13-66	 20%	+29.23    +6%    1
Robert Moss (11%)	13-105	 12%	+67.44    +1%    0
Shadwell Estate (22%)	12-42	 29%	 -5.18    +7%    0

Upcoming fixtures
Wednesday 13 November 2024	
Tuesday 19 November 2024		
Thursday 21 November 2024	
Tuesday 3 December 2024	
Wednesday 4 December 2024		

CONFIGURATION: Lingfield’s left-handed all-weather track is laid out inside the turf track and, measuring just less than a mile and a quarter round, is essentially sharp in nature. This, along with how the races often pan out ensures that stamina is rarely at a premium and strong-travelling types with a turn of foot are often favoured. For nearly half its length, the round course is flat, then rising to the summit of a slight hill after which there is a downhill turn to the straight.

SURFACE: Lingfield AW Racecourse uses Polytrack, the most popular choice of surfaces for AW tracks in the UK. Trainers prefer Polytrack over everything else because it is the fairest surface for horses to race on. This fast surface has little jar with virtually no kickback, meaning horses can enjoy their racing, and because it quickly regains its shape after racing there is less stress on tendons.

WINNING FAVOURITES: Winning favourites at Lingfield over the past 5 years show 725-2039 for 35.56% and a loss of -212.76. All Racecourse Templates are relevant, contextual and pertinent, but using and focusing on TRH figures, members have a real edge at Lingfield and we urge members to cut and paste the following for reference: WINNING FAVOURITES in NON-HANDICAPS score 269-553 for a MASSIVE 49% strike rate and a LEVEL STAKE PROFIT of +£17.96 to a £1 stake. Winning favourites in handicaps show 456-1486 for 31% (-230.75), this shows a huge differential of 18% in strike rate and £248.72 in stake returns.

By the way, check out these results for winning favourites in non-handicaps on the Lingfield AW this season, from a £1 stake to SP:

2yo    5-10   50%    -1.70
3yo   16-28   57%    +4.07
4yo+  15-26   58%    +8.20
Total 36-64   56%   +10.57

NOTE: There are 5 meetings coming up quickly before 4 December 2024 so a good time to check out our processes. TRH has made a 2024 profit of +17.29 with just a little filtration, and without any  creative staking. The 5-year figures are proof this strategy will not suffer fatigue.

TRAINERS: Standout trainer at the course is Andrew Balding (15%), he scores 58-257 for a big 23% and a level stake profit of (+71.83), which is +8% above his national average. He is not in red hot form however showing 0-25 over the last 12 days. Nevertheless, his entries must be processed, they include SUN DANCER GIRL 12.05, SOUL DANCE 12.35, JET BLACK 1.05 & MARCELLA 240

Roger Varian (20%) is another trainer who does well at this course showing 40-152 for 26% (-3.60) so +6% above his national average, he has 3 runners including DUE WEST 12.35, BOBBY BENNU 1.37 & CELL SA BEELA 2.40

JOCKEYS; David Probert (12%) takes advantage of the Balding factor at the course, and shows 89-579 for 15% (+108.55) so rides at +3% above his national average. He has 6 rides, they include TIANITA 12.05, SOUL DANCE 1.05, JET BLACK 1.05, BLUE PRINCE 1.37,  DYNAMISTE 2.07 & MARCELLA 2.40.

Luke Morris (9%) also has 6 rides including EQUULEUS STAR 12.05, TANMAWWY 1.37, LINGUA FRANCE 2.07, SATTWAA 2.40, HITCHED 3.15 & RECON MISSION 3.50. Whilst we cannot spot an obvious winner he will probably go close on one.

Jamie Spencer (12%) is on the cold list and now stands at 0-42 over the past 56 days, he has 3 rides at Lingfield tomorrow and looks to go 0-45. TRH has never known him to have such figures before, so we intend to keep our eye on him and follow then filter!

OWNERS: Power Geneva (14%) have an interesting runner in WALKING ON CLOUDS 3.50 trained by John Butler and ridden by Kaiya Fraser (3) and look to have a place chance at least.

RED FLAG 1: Godolphin (25%) are easily top owners at Lingfield scoring 40-138 for 29% (-5.99) over the past 5 years. Their all time Lingfield figures show 208-665 for 31% (+53.52) which is an amazing number and something we can work with. Adding to the strength of the figures further, we note 336-665 for 51% finish first or second making this a fabulous tool for FORECAST backing! The record between Godolphin and Charlie Appleby scores 1180-4617 for 26% and on the AW surfaces 419-1357 for 31%, This combination have 2 runners tomorrow in PRESENT TIMES 12.25 & CHARMING LIFE 1.05. TRH is on with 2 bet singles ref Charlie Appleby, and a set of creative forecast betting stakes as per the owners Godolpin. Appleby's all time figures at this course show 80-246 for 33% (+18.30)

RED FLAG 2: David Probert rides the Lingfield Racecourse as well as anyone and below he articulately lists his view on how to ride the course below. He is just 7 winners away from completing 200 winners at the course. TRH is not saying this will happen in 2024, but in the first couple of months for sure in 2025, probably January. However, he has ridden 198 winners at Wolverhampton so just a win double away from doing that in the next meeting or two. Be assured, jockeys will be aware of their exact figures and so will the trainer's who employ them. Currently the jockey is 0-28 over the last 12 days. TRH is following and filtering Probert's runners from here, and it could happen on a bigger priced winner. Below shows the jockey's numbers from his top 3 racecourses:

Kempton       239-2099	  11%	-181.35
Wolverhampton 198-1839	  11%	-320.03
Lingfield     193-1538	  13%	-144.73

11.35: 1m2f Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Apprentice Handicap (Class 5) (3yo+ 0-68)

• OBSIDIAN KNIGHT (T Kent) beaten favourite last time out, dual C&D winner and 3-7 for 43% at the course. weighted to win 73 > 68, Aidan Keeley rides
• ACHILLEA (D Ivory) course winner so 1-1 here, weighted to win 74 > 68, return to this trip to help. Callum Hutchinson rides
• MASQOOL (J Evans) 3-time C&D winner so now 4-11 for 36% at the course, stall 2 will help, weighted to win 70 > 65, Tom Kiely-Marshall (5) rides

12.05: 1m4f Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Fillies' Handicap (Class 5) (3yo+ 0-70)

• TURNER GIRL (E Dunlop) in good form and 1lb below last winning mark, Rossa Ryan rides
• GLIMMER OF LIGHT (E Walker) trainer +£74.36 with horses stepped up in trip, solid claims and the one to beat. Saffie Osborne rides

12.35: 1m1y BetMGM: It's Showtime / EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) (Class 5) (2yo)

Winning favourites 46%

• PRESENT TIMES (C Appleby) beaten favourite last time out. Trainer 29% NA and 80-246 for 33% (+18.70) all time at this course. James Doyle rides
• AL SHABABI (O Burrows) encouraging start to his career at Kempton last month RPR 88, looks certain to progress, Jason Watson rides
• DUE WEST (R Varian) trainer 26% at the course, too keen on debut in Newmarket Class 4, certain to improve, Jack Mitchell rides

1.05: 1m1y BetMGM: It's Showtime ? EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) (Class 5) (2yo)

Winning favourites 46%

• CHARMING LIFE (C Appleby) trainer NA of 29% and 80-246 for 33% (+18.70) all time at this course. James Doyle rides
• CAPE BRETON (R Beckett) Frankel colt and 450,000 yearling. Made 2/1 favourite for Class 2 debut at Ascot, now drops in grade. Rossa Ryan rides
• NIGHT STEP ((O Burrows) drops from Class 2 to Class, Richard Kingscote rides

1.37: 7f1y Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+ 0-95)

• INTERVENTION (M Appleby) C&D winner and 2-6 for 33% at the course, not won since Boxing Day (when completing 4-timer) but placed on numerous occasions since, live chance with reapplied headgear, Alistair Rawlinson rides
• FINAL VOYAGE (J Murtagh) course winner, ran creditably when 3 of 8 in Dundalk handicap last time out when not ideally placed. Irish raider warrants plenty of respect. Rossa Ryan rides
• LADY DREAMER (T Ward) C&D winner, 2-3 for 66% at the course, Saffie Osborne rides

2.07: 1m5f BetMGM River Eden EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed) (Class 1) (3yo+)

• SEA THEME (W Haggas) 105 OR, now drops from Grade 1 to Listed, trainer has won 4 of the last 10 runnings, Billy Loughnane rides
• MADAM CELESTE (G Lyons) shows useful form in Ireland with 106 OR, up in trip and first time blinkers, Colin Keane rides
• MERIBELLA (R Beckett) last time out winner. AW debut, improving and today's trip to suit, stable remains in cracking form, Rossa Ryan rides

2.40: 1m1y BetMGM Fleur De Lys EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed) (Class 1) (3yo+)

• DOOM (W Haggas) Listed winner in France last year, trainer has won 4 of the last 10 runnings, tongue strap added. Rossa Ryan rides
• IKEN (Mme J Soudan) interesting French mare and hardy type, ran well in Listed last time out, definite player, Alexis Pouchin rides
• SACRED ANGEL (C Johnston) long traveller 271-miles, drops from Grade 1 to Listed, Billy Loughnane rides

3.15: 1m1y Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Handicap (Class 6) (3yo+ 0-65)

• BOOK OF LIFE (I Williams) beaten favourite last time out, first time cheek-pieces, Richard Kingscote rides
• DRIFT AWAY (T Kent) progressive and now seeking hat-trick and the one to beat, Aidan Keeley rides
• CLAXTON BAY (P Evans) beaten favourite last time out on wrong ground, place chance. Jordan Williams (5) rides 

3.50: 6f1y Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap (Class 6) (3yo+ 0-65)

• LION RING (A Martin) form figures 11191, course winner, great draw, Ryan Kavanagh (7) rides
• WALKING ON CLOUDS (J Butler) weighted to win 77 > 62, Kaiya Fraser (3) rides
• PHOENIX MOON (D Coakley) C&D winner, creditable 3 of 11 in Wolverhampton handicap last time out, place chance at least, Tyler Heard rides

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How to ride the Lingfield AW Racecourse - David Probert

Our iIt's probably the most idiosyncratic of the AW tracks because of the hill. It's pretty level from the mile and a quarter start and down the back, but from the 4 furlong to the 2 furlong poles you're running down that hill. Some horses don't handle the hill which makes it a tricky track to ride; many of the jockeys will start to make their move at about the three - halfway down the hill, on the home bend - trying to get some of their rivals off balance. That's where you'll see most of the manoeuvres, jostling for position, trying to either get an inside run or slingshot off the bend if a little wider.

In 5f & 6f handicaps, you want to be handy, and perhaps ideally with a middle draw to cut the corner a little. That gives you the most options. They're both tricky starts, the five in a little chute on the crown of the bend, and the six just before the bend on the main track. Inside draws need to be very quick away and edge right a bit to get a position, because if you don't you'll be in a pocket and it'll be hard. The 6f trip is a bit more forgiving because you've got half a furlong or so before the bend, but you still need to jump and get a position quickly.

But over longer trips, certainly beyond a mile, it's very hard to make the running and win. I try and sit third or fourth, and one off the rail. If you're on the rail you can get boxed in as horses vie for positions and then you have to wait for them to pass before making your run. It's certainly a tricky track and one where you need to be in the right place at the right time.

Lane wise, it's pretty fair in the straight: I've seen horses coming up the rail to win, and horses fanning wide and winning, so there doesn't seem to be any advantage to one or other path in the last quarter. And the kickback is mild, probably the least of all the all weather circuits.

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